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The first signs of a slowdown in the remarkable pace of the global economic recovery have emerged. Still, a slow but steady normalisation in advanced economies implies a continuation of above-trend economic activity expansion.

Northern Trust

Stocks drifted lower over the last two months before catching a bid in early October. Rising energy prices have raised concerns about growth and inflation. There have also been pressures from the Common Prosperity initiatives being pursued in China. We have seen a rise in the U.S. 10-year yield to nearly 1.6%, mostly tied to an increase in 10-year inflation expectations to over 2.5%.


U.S. Treasury yields were mixed last week, rallying overall amid sharp curve flattening. Economic data remain strong, and the market anticipates the removal of Federal Reserve policy accommodation.